Have you heard of backcasts and Pre-mortems? They are tools Annie Duke created to make better decisions.
When things go wrong, we do rigorous postmortems. Dig into what went wrong; how we could do better. There are often early signs of failure, things we could have predicted prior to getting started.
But that doesn't help us now, because we've already failed. 🤔
Instead, improve your odds of success by using backcasts and premortems to assess risk vs opportunity:
Backcast: Imagine you've already reached your goal. Work backwards to figure out how you got there. What happened that caused you to be successful? What has to go right for you to win? How likely is that?
Premortem: Imagine you've already failed to reach your goal. Why did you fail? What were the riskiest unknowns and uncontrolled variables? How likely are they to occur?
Using tools like this improves your decisioning process.
Better decisions = better outcomes.
Better outcomes = happier you.
Improve your process.
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