No details necessary. I just walked from Harrison to 5th and Mission and saw what I need to see to get worried about this territory.
I guess my concern is about the economic viability of running this territory long term. What's going to happen here?
From the city streets you can see:
- Foot traffic way down from pre-COVID days. Many retail businesses look closed or open and empty. Is there enough foot traffic to keep up with rent and stay alive for the places still open? Will this spiral?
- New buildings propped up on what I assume is debt, with an occupancy rate down 30-40% from pre-COVID. What's going to happen to the builders of these buildings? To the companies stuck in leases? Are they going to bail as soon as their lease expires?
- Are companies going to move from the Bay Area to Texas, Washington, or elsewhere to follow the trend that their employees have followed? Are they going to stay in CA and move to Sacramento/San Jose?
I have a lot of questions about the long term viability of repping this geo, and am starting to transition career to move back into a West, National or Global role. Anyone else thinking along the same lines, or is this overthinking and companies will remain?
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